What a Fed Rate Change Actually Means for Your Money
When the Federal Reserve changes the federal funds rate, it is setting the rate at which banks lend to each other overnight. You never touch that rate directly. But a lot of things you do touch are priced off it.
Moves almost immediately
- Credit card APRs. Nearly all are variable and tied to the prime rate, which tracks the Fed. Expect a change within one or two statement cycles.
- HELOCs and variable-rate loans. Same mechanism, same speed.
- Savings yields — eventually. Banks raise deposit rates slower than they raise loan rates. Online banks move faster than branch banks.
Moves indirectly
Mortgage rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, not the funds rate. They often move before a Fed decision, because the bond market prices in the expectation. This is why mortgage rates sometimes fall on the day of a hike.
Does not move
Your fixed-rate mortgage, your fixed auto loan, your existing fixed student loans. That is the point of a fixed rate.
What to do about it
When rates rise, variable-rate debt gets more expensive — prioritise paying it down, and check whether your savings are sitting somewhere that passes the increase on to you. When rates fall, refinancing becomes worth modelling.
Either way: this is a reason to review, not a reason to react. The rate cycle is slow, and decisions made on a single headline usually cost more than they save.
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